Posts Tagged
‘Central Bank’

For several years, investors have wrestled with a profound dilemma. With Federal Reserve and other substantial government stimulus, stock prices have risen to and remained at valuation levels that have, throughout history, ultimately been severely punished. As the years rolled on and the Fed consistently provided one sort of stimulus or another whenever stocks appeared [...]
As we head into the decade of the twenties, welcome to the casino! You can double your money on red or black, or you can lose it all. Never in the lifetimes of people living today have speculators faced the alternative of investments so ripe with positive potential while simultaneously saturated with the risk of [...]

Jan 22, 2020

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Quarterly Commentary

Over the past year, the major factors affecting stock market movement—expectations of Federal Reserve policy and administration comments about the China trade dispute—have remained largely the same. What has changed is that market reactions are unfolding in an increasingly compressed time frame. At the long end of a three-year process of Fed interest rate “normalization”, [...]

Oct 22, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Quarterly Commentary

For the past several years, we have been profiling the dilemma facing investors as a “bet” between: 1) Reliance on traditional investment fundamentals reverting to their long-term means, which has always ultimately proven successful; or 2) Reliance on central bankers continuing to prevent securities prices from a reversion to historic fundamental averages, the approach that [...]

Apr 16, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Markets & Economy, Quarterly Commentary

2018 proved to be a difficult year for investors throughout the world. Nothing performed well, and there were very few places to hide. In the United States, the majority of stock indexes reached all-time highs in January, only to suffer sharp declines over the next two months. A negative first quarter accompanied by worrisome foreign [...]

Jan 23, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Markets & Economy, Quarterly Commentary

Notwithstanding brief periods of weakness, both stock and bond markets have experienced remarkable success for more than seven years running. Through that period, those who have continued to highlight various dangers as reason for caution have been perceived as boys who cried "wolf." Copious quantities of newly printed money have flooded the equity and fixed [...]

Jul 12, 2016

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Economics, Markets & Economy

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