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2019 4th Quarter Market Commentary

2019 4th Quarter Market Commentary

As we head into the decade of the twenties, welcome to the casino! You can double your money on red or black, or you can lose it all. Never in the lifetimes of people living today have speculators faced the alternative of investments so ripe with positive potential while simultaneously saturated with the risk of [...]

Jan 22, 2020

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Quarterly Commentary

2019 3rd Quarter Market Commentary

2019 3rd Quarter Market Commentary

Over the past year, the major factors affecting stock market movement—expectations of Federal Reserve policy and administration comments about the China trade dispute—have remained largely the same. What has changed is that market reactions are unfolding in an increasingly compressed time frame. At the long end of a three-year process of Fed interest rate “normalization”, [...]

Oct 22, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Quarterly Commentary

2019 1st Quarter Market Commentary

2019 1st Quarter Market Commentary

For the past several years, we have been profiling the dilemma facing investors as a “bet” between: 1) Reliance on traditional investment fundamentals reverting to their long-term means, which has always ultimately proven successful; or 2) Reliance on central bankers continuing to prevent securities prices from a reversion to historic fundamental averages, the approach that [...]

Apr 16, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: bonds, Central Bank, commentary, debt, economy, Federal Reserve, interest rates, Investing, investment planning, investment strategy, investments, market commentary, recession, stock market, stocks, volatility, Wall Street

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Categories: Markets & Economy, Quarterly Commentary

The Silliness of Financial Commentary

The Silliness of Financial Commentary

Nothing very serious here. Just a few musings on the silliness of some of the nonstop commentary we hear on financial TV. Wall Street commentators have a large bag full of descriptions and definitions that defy common sense. One that has gained great currency over the past couple of decades is the definition of a [...]

Feb 22, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: analysts, bonds, commentary, financial, Investing, investment planning, investments, market commentary, statistics, stock market, stocks, Wall Street

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Markets & Economy, Stock & Bond Markets

2018 4th Quarter Market Commentary

2018 4th Quarter Market Commentary

2018 proved to be a difficult year for investors throughout the world. Nothing performed well, and there were very few places to hide. In the United States, the majority of stock indexes reached all-time highs in January, only to suffer sharp declines over the next two months. A negative first quarter accompanied by worrisome foreign [...]

Jan 23, 2019

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: bonds, Central Bank, commentary, debt, economy, Federal Reserve, interest rates, Investing, investment planning, investment strategy, investments, market commentary, recession, stock market, stocks, volatility, Wall Street

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Categories: Markets & Economy, Quarterly Commentary

The Fed Vs. The Fundamentals: Understand the Bet

The Fed Vs. The Fundamentals: Understand the Bet

Notwithstanding brief periods of weakness, both stock and bond markets have experienced remarkable success for more than seven years running. Through that period, those who have continued to highlight various dangers as reason for caution have been perceived as boys who cried “wolf.” Copious quantities of newly printed money have flooded the equity and fixed […]

Jul 12, 2016

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: bonds, Central Bank, economy, Federal Reserve, Investing, investment planning, investment risk, investments, risk analysis, stock market, stocks, World Bank

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Categories: Economics, Markets & Economy

“Normal” Returns Are Unlikely In A Far From “Normal” Environment

“Normal” Returns Are Unlikely In A Far From “Normal” Environment

Almost all investors have at least a general familiarity with the long-term performance record of stocks, bonds and cash equivalents. Over the 90-year span from the end of 1925 to year-end 2015, common stocks provided an average annual total return of 10.0%; Intermediate U.S. Government Bonds 5.3%; and risk-free U.S. Treasury Bills 3.5%. All this [...]

May 03, 2016

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: asset management, bonds, cash investments, Central Bank, economy, fixed income, Investing, investment planning, investment strategy, investments, performance, stock market, stock valuation, stocks, yield

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Markets & Economy, Stock & Bond Markets

Looking for the Right Investment? Keep Your Job

Looking for the Right Investment? Keep Your Job

Unless you are extremely well off ($10 million or more in liquid assets for individuals or families), fight the urge to retire in this era of great financial uncertainty. The United States and much of the world has embarked on an unprecedented venture to absolve the financial sins of the current and immediate past generations [...]

Aug 17, 2010

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by: Tom Feeney

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Tags: asset management, bonds, choosing stocks, economy, finances, Investing, investment planning, investment strategy, investments, retirement planning, stock market, stocks

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Categories: Investment Thinking, Markets & Economy, Stock & Bond Markets

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